Economic Review – August 2018

Our monthly economic review is intended to provide background to recent developments in investment markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.

Overview

INTEREST RATES UP BUT NO RUSH TO RAISE AGAIN

The Bank of England (BoE) has raised interest rates for only the second time in more than a decade, but stuck to its previous guidance that any further monetary tightening is likely to be only gradual and limited in extent.

UK ECONOMY WARMS UP BUT MOMENTUM FLAGGING

Second quarter data confirmed that the UK economy did bounce back from its winter slump although it also suggests that any momentum is unlikely to be maintained over the coming months.

MARKETS

At the end of August, trade tensions between the US and its international trade partners weighed on sentiment. Whilst trade talks with Canada are set to resume, President Trump is keen to progress with his plan to impose tariffs on $200 billion worth of Chinese goods. (Data compiled by The Outsourced Marketing Department)

FURTHER IMPROVEMENT IN PUBLIC FINANCES

Chancellor Philip Hammond has received another welcome boost with the latest public finance statistics reporting the largest July budget surplus in 18 years.

AVERAGE PAY £13 A WEEK LESS THAN A DECADE AGO

A study by an independent think tank has found that average earnings remain significantly lower than they were a decade ago, despite employment currently standing at a record high level.