Economic Review – January 2018

Our monthly economic review is intended to provide background to recent developments in investment markets as well as to give an indication of how some key issues could impact in the future.

Overview

ECONOMIC GROWTH STRONGER THAN EXPECTED

The UK economy showed signs of resilience during the final quarter of 2017
recording a higher than expected rate of growth, although Brexit concerns still weigh on economic prospects.

MANUFACTURING OUTPUT AT 10-YEAR HIGH

The UK manufacturing sector is growing at its fastest rate since early 2008,
boosted by a potent combination of strong global economic growth and the weaker pound.

MARKETS

As the first month of 2018 drew to a close and the World Economic Forum concluded in Davos, the focus shifted firmly onto the US, as markets braced themselves for President Trump’s first State of the Union address to Congress on 30 Jan, and Janet Yellen’s last Fed meeting as Chair.

TOUGH TIMES FOR THE RETAIL SECTOR

Retail sales in December fell at a sharper than expected rate as UK consumers struggled to cope with rising prices and stagnant wages.

EMPLOYMENT RISES TO RECORD LEVEL

The pace of job creation in the UK quickened during the autumn months, with the total number of people in work rising to a new record high.